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Politics Obamacare

Discussion in 'Tilted Philosophy, Politics, and Economics' started by pan6467, Mar 28, 2012.

  1. Joniemack

    Joniemack Beta brainwaves in session

    Location:
    Reading, UK
    All well and good. I would have preferred (and still hold out hope for) a single payer system, but the truth is, it would never have passed through either House of Congress. ACA was drafted by a bi-partisan committee who were never even considering working on a single payer plan. And I agree that ACA does not appear to adequately address the issue of lowering the cost of of healthcare, focusing largely on spreading the cost of insurance premiums over a wider base, expanding Medicaid and eliminating Medicare fraud and waste, but, warts and all, it at least addresses the problem of increasing insured access to healthcare. Perhaps the rest can be worked on slowly, if Republicans ever start cooperating.

    The majority of lies about ACA have come from the Right. Outrageous to the point of absurdity. What ACA is and isn't, what it does and doesn't do - is quite transparent and has been from the beginning for those interested enough to find out about it. Those who kept their heads in the sand are naturally surprised as each new wrinkle is discovered. Some pleasantly so.

    It's not perfect and it's certainly not what Liberals and Democrats wanted but it's a step in the journey away from a system that was untenable.
     
  2. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    Not quite, Ace.

    Obama delayed implementation of one (or more) provisions of the law....in the same manner that many past presidents, both Democrat and Republican, have done in the past when more time was needed to finalize regulations.

    Congress creates the laws, the Executive Branch implements the laws and delaying a provision(s) does not materially change the law is common as long as the delay is not unreasonable (ie Bush delaying Clean Air Act implementation indefinitely.)"Faithfully executing the laws.." has always provided presidents with some level of discretion and judgement.
     
    Last edited: Oct 16, 2013
  3. Borla

    Borla Moderator Staff Member


    For a gold plan (health only on all of the following) I am looking at $500-900/month.
    For a silver plan $425-820/month.
    Bronze is $310-650/month.

    I can't find info on the gold or bronze, but the silver plan says that I might still have to pay up to $12,700 out of pocket per year. It says if I save money monthly by picking a bronze package I face a potential higher out of pocket than $12,700. If I can pay monthly for a gold, that out of pocket would normally be lower.

    So under the exchange, the cheapest health care option for me would cost almost $4000/yr. And if our combined gross income is over $45k, according to the calculator we have to pay it all without any subsidy, it's all out of pocket. And if we have a major surgery or accident we'll likely have somewhere north of $12k in medical bills out of pocket anyway? If that is accurate (and maybe I'm understanding it wrong?), I'm guessing lots of young healthy people will take the risk with just paying the fine/tax instead.
     
  4. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    My understanding of the out-of-pocket costs are $6,350 for individual and $12,700 for family plan where in the past there generally was no maximum. Which is why 2 million people/families a year faced personal bankruptcy as a result of a significant medical emergency.

    Considering the cost of major (or even minor) surgery resulting from an unanticipated accident or health issue, I would pay the price, knowing that for the first time, out-of-pocket costs are limited (albeit high for many families) rather than face bankruptcy.
     
  5. Borla

    Borla Moderator Staff Member


    I've had health insurance my entire life. Every plan I ever had included a maximum out of pocket. Even when I was 19 and had to buy my own individual insurance (just had a plan barely better than catastrophic since I was young and broke) it had an out of pocket max around $10k. I've never had an out of pocket max higher than that. Right now my health coverage is close to on par with the Gold plans and I already pay less (even if I had to pay out of my pocket the portion my employer does currently). And that includes eye and dental, which those plans did not.

    My point is that I think a lot of healthy 20-30yr olds (the backbone of the plan's "spread the cost" idea) are going to opt out at those costs. For a family making $45k a year, a $4k insurance bill for only 60% coverage and a max out of pocket of maybe 1/3-1/2 their gross income is pretty steep.




    I'll be interested to hear from anyone here who signs up and how their coverage works out. I'm not against the idea of major change. I am just unconvinced that this will really do more good than harm in the long run. Sure it gives people options, but I don't think that the healthy people who make just barely too much to already qualify for assistance are going to decide to spend 10% of their income on this.
     
  6. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    Defeatist attitude. We already have Medicare/Medicaid. We have a convoluted SCHIP program for low income children. If we take the step of unconditionally insuring all children..then we have all elderly, all children and many impoverished people covered. We could put that under one umbrella - and then address the rest. It could be done. Imagine if Obama as a Senator had the attitude the Cruz has as a Senator! some people have conviction and some don't. some will act on their convictions and take the heat others will avoid it.
    --- merged: Oct 16, 2013 at 3:23 PM ---
    Is your issue with the use of the word "material"? If not material changes what word would you use, "minor"? is that really the basis of our disagreement on this point?
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Oct 23, 2013
  7. Joniemack

    Joniemack Beta brainwaves in session

    Location:
    Reading, UK
    A bit more expensive than I thought it would be. Is there any chance of the premiums coming down once everyone has signed up or are those out-of-pocket calculations already based on the projected number of people they expect to sign up?

    Conversely, could they go higher if a substantial number of people choose to opt out and take the tax hit?
     
  8. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    Are you suggesting that 2 million people/families every year reached annual and or lifetime caps on their insurance plans?
    Are you saying that providers of medical services would not reduce fees and costs under these circumstances?
    Are you saying there were no alternatives for these people/families other than bankruptcy?

    I doubt you mean to saying the above even if you are implying it - perhaps just a bit of an exaggeration. Many people have a number of reasons for declaring bankruptcy which may include unexpected medical expenses along with other reasons.
     
  9. Joniemack

    Joniemack Beta brainwaves in session

    Location:
    Reading, UK
    Defeatist or Realist? Ace, it didn't have the votes to pass this time around. Why Obama snubbed single-payer - Salon.com

    Universal health care for Americans is inevitable. It's just not time yet.

    And Cruz, for all his "attitude" is not going to come out on top of this - due to, lo and behold, Obama's conviction that stepping backwards is not an option.
     
  10. Borla

    Borla Moderator Staff Member

    If you are referring to the costs I posted, I understand those to be set by the insurance companies who chose to participate. So I'm guessing most of them did a massive amount of research and took a best guess based on what they think will happen. I would assume that if a huge portion of healthy people signed up and didn't need the benefits, the premiums would come down. If a lot of healthy people do not sign up, I'd imagine the premiums would rise. I do believe a portion of the bill included a minimum threshold on what percentage of revenue insurance companies had to pay out in benefits, so it should work like that.

    In fairness, what I posted are the full premium prices. If those premiums are higher than 9.5% of your gross income, you get gov't/taxpayer help in paying. But 9.5% (and again, gross income, not net) of anyone's income is a large chunk.
     
  11. Joniemack

    Joniemack Beta brainwaves in session

    Location:
    Reading, UK

    Medical debt is the number one cause of personal bankruptcy in the US.
     
  12. Borla

    Borla Moderator Staff Member

    That is a bit of a fallacy. Medical bills are PART of what is written down in most personal bankruptcies. I have yet to see a study or accurate data saying how many include MOSTLY medical bills.

    For the purposes of that talking point, if I have $300k in mortgage debt, $40k in credit card debt, and $5k in medical debt, lose my job and can't find another one, they say my bankruptcy involved medical bills.
     
  13. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    The last data I saw put it at 2+ million families, many of whom had health insurance, but either had no annual out-of-pocket limit (about 15% of employer based plans) or had the insurance rescinded when they became seriously ill (now illegal for insurance companies to recind policies) or had no insurance....by far the leading cause of personal bankruptcy.

    An earlier study (2007):
    --- merged: Oct 16, 2013 at 3:47 PM ---
    The study released [pdf] by the American Journal of Medicine.

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Oct 23, 2013
  14. Borla

    Borla Moderator Staff Member


    Good reference. I'd love to see an updated version of the last few years since the real estate bubble burst.
     
  15. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    If you were still single and had no insurance bought the cheapest non-catastrophic plan on the Insurance Exchange, your out of pocket would have dropped from $10,000 to $6,350.

    My employer plan is similar to yours, although I didnt have many plans (3) from which to choose -- one of which had no out of pocket limits. Somewhere around 10-15% of employers only offer plans with no out of pocket limits.

    That will change now.
     
    Last edited: Oct 16, 2013
  16. Joniemack

    Joniemack Beta brainwaves in session

    Location:
    Reading, UK
  17. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    Holy shit, America.
     
  18. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    The above is a talking point, intended to mislead. It is not your fault that much of the information that is reported is never questioned.

    Clarifying the Research on Medical Bankruptcy - Economics - AEI
    --- merged: Oct 16, 2013 at 6:46 PM ---
    I predict more people will end up being insured or end up with less coverage under Obamacare than prior to Obamacare.

    The games have already begun with "Skinny Plans" -

    Obamacare penalties spawn 'skinny' plans - Brett Norman - POLITICO.com
    We will see more and more companies offer these "skinny plans" in place of regular plans and to avoid penalties. In addition a young healthy person may be better off with a "skinny plan" than an exchange plan. Assume a 25 healthy individual, facing a premium of $3,000 per year with co-pays and deductibles compared to a "skinny plan", compared to paying a penalty. Doing the numbers a young healthy person would be better off with no coverage and pay the fine. With an exchange policy or a "skinny plan" out of pocket costs will be very high before coverage, for healthy individuals odds are that they won't hit these levels. Treating a broken arm in the emergency room is a risk many will be willing to take without insurance..
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Oct 23, 2013
  19. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    Here is a checklist of what employers who offer group plans will be required to provide under the law, in terms of both coverage and affordability:


    Large Employer Affordable Care Act Compliance Checklist | Regence


    The employer mandate was delayed for one year to give employers more time to come into compliance. A study by the Rand Corp matches (or projects lower adverse impact) than a CBO study.

     
  20. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    From a technical point of view...this is actually quite typical for new computer processes...for BOTH corporate & government.
    It's actually a running joke of a sorts...has to do with the dynamics & politics of management.
    They fell for the same ol' trap.

    1. Management and SMEs take their own sweet time getting specifications, context & business rules (or laws) that the devs need to write on.
      Kind of hard to make something out of thin air without knowing what the hell they need.
      Example here: Govt staffers didn't get specs to Developer contractors until just this past spring, they only had 6 months to build it.
    2. Contractors often hire unqualified mercs to try to increase their bottom line, they don't truly invest until the end...near deadlines
    3. Everyone focuses on features, formatting & business rules
    4. Under the gun, cut short on time, changes to rules on the fly...they all forget to deal with Capacity planning, Optimization or Security.
      Why?? Because they don't want to do that until the end...because that's one more thing, and security locks down changes.
      You often get developers and testers that are ignorant of performance. (Ex. A process that results in 5 rows against 50 vs. 5 MILLION)
    5. So in the end, at least at first...MOST entities forget all of this...including Quality Assurance testing...and again, if they do it...
      they focus on features and business rules. And mgmt is ignorant of it all.
    So, that's why I have a job...Companies & Govt often find themselves scrambling and skritching their heads after the fact.
    Security
    Optimization
    Performance Tuning
    Quality Assurance
    Capacity Planning

    And all you can say is "Duh"...You'd think they'd know better.
    But it's typically a Chinese Firedrill...even at the best of the best places, even with the smartest people around.
    White House, Lockheed Martin, the Mint, CACI, DHS...and so on.
    I've seen it again and again...and it's even happening at the job I'm at now.

    So this is not unusual...it's just drawing more attention because it is a spotlight project, under contention and the media is watching it.

    They'll get it fixed, then we can move on...to the next circus. :rolleyes:
     
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