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Politics What did Romney and the GOP do wrong?

Discussion in 'Tilted Philosophy, Politics, and Economics' started by ASU2003, Nov 7, 2012.

  1. roachboy

    roachboy Very Tilted

    i think the central problems that the right has are (a) the overwhelming power allowed the conservative media apparatus---starting with faux news and working out to the sewer of right talk radio and (b) the centrality of conservative identity politics that results from the way (in general) this system operates both rhetorically (in the way the sentences position a listener with respect to the world, say---interpellation in the pretentious old language particular to louis althusser) and in its consequences as the lynchpin(s) of a conservative-specific alternate reality to which individual human beings who find conservatism appealing for whatever reason fashion any number of relations---some wholesale, others only part, still others not at all...these last people, called moderates, had been thought extinct because of the intellectual ice age that accompanied the right's dash to the ultra-right...but surviving examples have been found in obscure locations, clinging to rocks and generally being annoyed at the hijacking of their party by the wingnut right. i think there has to be some account taken of the consequences of this sewer system through which circulates the memes required to fashion this particular conservative reality. there's no space to be more socially libertarian in this media environment. that'll end up being one front in the "civil war" that the guardian labelled. another will involve gasbags like karl rove. but i digress.
     
  2. loquitur

    loquitur Getting Tilted

    RB re your post before this past one -- you need a theory of technological advances, where they come from and how they get assimilated. Simply asserting the centrality of labor doesn't get you there. If you tell me that it's holistic, and that each of the inputs needs the other, I'm fine with that. But that's MY view, and AFAICT you and I come out in very different places, so I don't think that's yours, not even close.
     
  3. Flip Astro

    Flip Astro New Member

    All the people lamenting or praising the death of the GOP are a bit premature. I am actually pretty impressed that they did so well considering even the people who voted for Romney didn't even like him. Just imagine the numbers had the GOP ran a candidate that was actually likeable.
     
  4. roachboy

    roachboy Very Tilted

    loquitor---i didn't assert the centrality of labor in that post. what i said was that the idea that capital is autonomous and it alone creates wealth is insane. and it is. my own view depends on the framework we're working with. the more social-democratic version is that there is a symbiotic relation between labor and capital within the logic of capitalism. that's fundamental to the operating of the system as a whole. the technological situation becomes more complex---to talk about that you have to revert to the history of actually existing capitalism and leave the register of political statements, which are normative. i could do that, but it'd be one of those long posts that no-one would read. suffice it to say that technology is not determinate...technologies are deployed and used in term shaped by the logic of the dominant ideology of the period. so in a neo-liberal logic, it makes sense that, given the assumption of the autonomy of capital, one could exploit the development of computer technologies and the telecommunications infrastructure that enables the net to generate a system like currently exists. the off-shoring of jobs is not a necessary outcome of either infrastructure---rather it is a historical outcome enabled by particular ideological assumptions that enabled justifications to be elaborated for shipping manufacturing to low-wage/repressive labor law spaces because what matters is maximizing the returns on investment for the holders of capital to the exclusion of other considerations. a viewpoint that departed from the assumption that there is a symbiotic relation between capital and labor would--if you extend it a couple steps (i can do the intermediate steps if this isn't clear)--introduce considerations of social cohesion and/or legitimacy within the metropole and would, in principle anyway, result in quite different uses/deployments of the same kind of technology. in other words, i don't buy technological determinist arguments. that's what i took your post above to be leaning toward.

    i'll leave it at that for the moment. let me know what you think.
     
  5. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    roachboy, no offense, it's all blurring together

    can you summarize?
     
  6. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    Which of the more extremists Republicans do you think would have attracted women, minorities, moderates?
     
  7. ASU2003

    ASU2003 Very Tilted

    Location:
    Where ever I roam
    Marco Rubio is going to Iowa next week to start his 2016 Presidential Campaign...

    I don't think the GOP is going away, hopefully they will swing back towards the center and work to improve American lives though. I am surprised that the Republicans did so well with their weak plan during this last election.
     
  8. Charlatan

    Charlatan sous les pavés, la plage

    Location:
    Temasek
    Nobody is predicting the death of the GOP. It isn't going anywhere until there is something viable to replace it... and currently, in a two party system there is nothing remotely viable.
     
  9. loquitur

    loquitur Getting Tilted

    RB, I think the interdependence position is accurate, but you and I don't see eye to eye on what it implies. I have to actually start my day now, so I'll have more to say on this later. I also think that you might have overstated the idea you're arguing with, which means that to some extent your pinata is a strawman. But as I said, more on this later.
     
  10. Stan

    Stan Resident Dumbass

    Location:
    Colorado
    The problem that the GOP has is that a likeable, moderate candidate can't seem to win the primary. Once you go off the conservative deep end, it's hard to come back for the general election.
     
  11. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    hmm...I don't know if I fully agree with the premise of this article.
    Frankly, I believe and I think most Americans truly believe in capitalism and the power of business.

    And they don't mind and see the strengths unfettered Laissez Faire philosophy for corporations and small business.
    We certainly aren't socialists or communists.

    BUT they don't want it at the cost of themselves or their fellow citizens or their local area and the nation at large.
    Health, Stability, a certain fairness and consideration...

    They don't mind people making a buck, but not at all costs or through neglect.

    So they will agree with no regulations, until business prove that they need oversight.
    And unfortunately, in the early part of last decade...they proved it...and then some.
    Through their own "irrational exuberance" they led the nation and the world off the cliff.

    They saw the reality and the impact...No, they FELT the reality and the impact.

    This is like someone arguing that you aren't going to get to someplace faster unless you speed it up.
    And this is true...to a certain point.
    There does come a time when the speed is unsafe...
    And if your driver isn't truly paying attention either...it becomes more unsafe.

    The damage from a crash is often not isolated, but it's collateral.
    And even if it's isolated, do you want the loss of life, vehicle and any other impact to where it crashed???

    So unfortunately, we have speed limits...and we now have even more laws for paying attention to the road.
    In business, this end up being regulation.

    Yes, it's a pain in the ass...it's annoying, it costs man-hours, it slows down business...
    but like a speed limit it is necessary for the safety of the driver and the environ.

    Like the person either respectful or not...that gets into their car drunk, potentially endangering themselves and others,
    Business when they get into a frenzy, don't pay attention or even ignore the potential impact for short-term gain and convenience.

    I agree some regulations like EPA ones on refineries are overkill and have overly stagnated the ability to build new ones,
    but I also don't see for the most part it "stopping" business...it slows it down, yes.
    Like anything, there is a balance...we need to find that not doing too much...not doing too little.

    And like a speed limit...if we can prove that the speed can increase, but safety is taken into account, then people won't mind the pace.
    Like a bullet train...or a plane.
    But Wall Street proved they weren't ready for that speed...and crashed.

    Little kids need to play in their sandboxes nicely...

     
    Last edited: Nov 12, 2012
  12. Random McRandom

    Random McRandom Starry Eyed

    Marco Rubio won't win jack shit.

    Ok, he might win Fl. and Tx. that alone ought to tell you something. He won't be able to escape his ass-licking relationship with McConnell.

    The GOP is foolish if they think they can just place a Latino in front of the camera and say "Look! We're really NOT racist!". That type of patronizing attitude will be seen through in a heartbeat. The Dem primaries are more important for them than the GOP IMO. They have to ensure they don't fall to what we saw in the last GOP primary and by doing so they'll make it hard for any GOP candidate.
     
  13. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    There have been a variety of people for some time saying that conservatives are in a bubble.

    And I'd have to agree...with some of the statements of their observations that come out of their mouths.

    Now I've got both conservative and liberal values, Libertarian and Progressive...middle of the road all the way.
    Practical and pragmatic, I note what the situation deserves...Ideals are a goal, not a replacement.
    Facts, trends and reality mean something to me.

    It's like saying that the car that swerves in front of me is something to be avoided,
    but there's no conspiracy that it's doing it on purpose
    nor do I think I should just move straight on with no adjustment just because I'm right.

    I agree with many conservative values...but you can't just say I WANT IT and reality alters to it.

    If you want people to think your ideas are realistic, then you need to start with the real not the ideal.

    And BTW...if you think I'm wrong...one of the GOP's rising stars are saying exactly the same thing... :eek: :rolleyes: :p :confused: ;) :cool:
    Bobby Jindal - End "dumbed-down" conservatism
     
    Last edited: Nov 13, 2012
  14. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    This is what is somewhat infuriating to me regarding Americans specifically and people generally (much of it goes on here in Canada too).

    It's this cognitive dissonance people have regarding markets and society. They believe on one hand that free markets are ideal, while on the other hand they want social justice. They say laissez-faire should be the goal, but that human rights and equal opportunity should not be violated or demeaned.

    The problem with this is that these two things are essentially at odds. For starters, there is no such thing as a free market, nor is there such a phenomenon as laissez-faire. There is a reason for that, and it's because of the political will of the people. For over a century now, people have fought and resisted this idea that capitalism should reign. So today we have what we call mixed markets. If you want to go find an example of a free market, you won't find one.

    When people say they believe in free enterprise and hope for free markets, I think it's understood (if you are pragmatic) that this means "the freest possible market within the parameters of civil society." There is no single means to achieve this. There are countless ways, which is what you find when you look at the makeup of virtually every economy within nations people would call free. Some say America is the freest nation on earth. Many disagree. It really depends on what you mean by freedom, and what kind of stuff freedom affords one and one's family.

    The inverse is true for those socialist idealists, who think it would be grand if there were no need for private property and if capital belonged equally among the producers in society. Both extremes of the spectrum—the truly free market and the communistic utopia—are unachievable if not incredibly unstable.

    I don't think most people fool themselves into thinking no regulations are ideal. There have been many regulations in industry in place for decades, and it was the political will of the people that put them there.

    Problems happen at both ends: 1) too much regulation, and 2) rampant deregulation.

    A balance needs to be achieved. It's a work in progress always, as things change year to year. Regulations can be messy, but they are necessary, especially when things go wrong and much of the problem can be traced back to lax regulatory environments such as those in the American financial system currently.

    Bottom line: Going slower, being less profitable, etc., is better than people getting walloped while those to blame get off scot-free if not after profiting from it!

    Systemwide stability should be the goal, as it is stability that weathers the bad times and ensures the good times don't get out of hand.

    All that said, the GOP cling to this ideal of Reaganomics, particularly this idea that deregulation is necessary for a successful economy. There are too many examples of how and why this isn't true.

    And then to think that they're only looking at the big picture and not the details. They oversimplify.

    And then there are taxes.
     
    Last edited: Nov 13, 2012
    • Like Like x 1
  15. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    Well, Baraka_Guru while they may seem at odds, they aren't, if done correctly.
    The analogy of a car, train or plane works again here...

    You can go at relatively greater speeds...as long as you're wise enough to make sure your eyes are on the road.
    You look ahead
    And are prepared at all times to brake or adjust according to situations or obstacles.

    A good business will do this.
    But there are many who are neglectful or speed unsafely for short term gain...getting to their goals sooner.

    This is why we end up with rules of the road, registrations, traffic signals and signs and cops monitoring us.
    Same with trains, same with planes.

    Problem is...again, there are many who are greedy or unaware...and they continue to be unsafe even despite these.
    Now do we want to have TOO MANY laws??
    No, because that would slow it down so traffic doesn't flow and aren't free flowing enough to allow the flexibility to drive various places.

    So, as I said before...there is a balance.
    We took away too much oversight...business zoomed ahead...they showed they couldn't drive at a safe speed.
    So now, we need to put those restrictions back.

    It's like any rule we give teens...you want the freedom, show you can handle the responsibility.

    Question is this...
    Are we good parents that we will disipline and control our kids after they mess up??
    Or are we just going to let them keep on screwing up?

    The GOP currently has been taking the route of the parent that doesn't want to control their kids...for the convenience of not watching them.
    The Dems have been often in the past over-controlling parents...so the kid can't explore...but recently, they've shown some discretion.

    There is a balance to everything.
    I voted for the person who showed balance...and not for the one that said let them reign free.
    With that in mind...what would you do???
     
  16. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    rogue49

    This is basically what I'm saying. A "free market" is at odds with society in market actors taking whatever freedom they want to achieve whatever end they want. Society doesn't like this, and so restrictions are placed.

    The end result is much like you say. Despite whatever businesses might groan about regulation, it is often sensible regulation that keeps things robust.

    Take the Canadian financial system. Its regulatory environment is enough to make the average American squirm, and yet what were Canada's Big Five banks doing in 2008 and 2009 whilst most of the world was reeling from America's meltdown?

    They were making record profits.

    In Canada, you will often hear us complaining about red tape. It's quite the pastime to complain about bureaucracy here, and sure there is quite a bit compared to the U.S. However, there are benefits. First, realize that the federal government (and provincial governments often as well) usually have reasons for changing regulations. One example of this is the recent change made by the Conservative government in the housing market (yes, conservatives do apply regulations).

    There are concerns that the market is overheating, and there has been talk about a bubble, so the government tightened up requirements for mortgages. The maximum amortization period for a government-insured mortgage was reduced to 25 years from 30. This basically makes it more difficult for first-time buyers to get into the market, because it forces them to pay more per month. Government-insured mortgages are for those who don't meet the minimum down payment required. To get a longer period of 30 years, you need at least 20% or more as a down payment.

    Also, to qualify for a mortgage, Canadians now may only spend a maximum of 39% of gross household income on home expenses, and a maximum of 44% on housing expenses and all other debt. This further restricts those who can buy.

    Government-insured mortgages were capped at $1 million.

    A down payment of at least 20% is required on mortgages of over $1 million.

    Basically, these changes were in response to dangerously high household debt among Canadians, and they took effect in July. Why did these changes occur? Well, as I said, there were concerns of an overheated market, plus household debt among Canadians was high. But do you know what else? Some of Canada's big banks called for this. If you don't already know, Canada's banking system is pretty concentrated, so if a few "big banks" call for something, it's kind of a big deal.

    But don't you find it interesting that big banks call for more regulations? It's because they wanted the housing industry to stabilize and they wanted it to happen through the financial system.

    And you know what? It's kind of working. Housing prices are coming down, not crashing down. Well so far. There are still concerns about household debt, but that's a factor that is difficult to control. Much of that has to do with the global economy, not decisions about mortgage rules tinkered together by the federal government and banks.

    Regardless, what are mortgage regulations like in the U.S. compared to Canada? Before 2008 vs. now? Any differences?
     
    Last edited: Nov 13, 2012
  17. roachboy

    roachboy Very Tilted

    one thing the romney campaign did not do was organize as effectively as did obama's campaign. it's interesting to me that the campaign (the "ground game") flew under the media radar for the most part. but some information is starting to emerge about how it operated:

    Everything We Know (So Far) About Obama’s Big Data Tactics - ProPublica

    but it's still pretty general.

    it seemed to me that there was so much advertising of such low intellectual quality that it more or less negated itself---everywhere, you could find people complaining about it like thick mosquitoes. so it came down to machine vs. machine.
     
  18. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    I needed some time away from politics and the news for several days after the election. The problem or what went wrong is that Republicans, for a second time, nominated the wrong candidate. In both occasions, personally I initially decided not to vote for the party nominee. With McCain, it was Palin that motivated me to vote Republican. With Romney it was my dislike of President Obama combined with his strong first debate performance - I began to believe Romney could win. The difference between McCain/Romney and Bush was that with Bush not only did he have my vote but I volunteered and worked on his campaign. I attended meetings, I distributed signs, I worked on a strategy at the precinct level in my city, I made phone calls, I helped raise money, and I served as a poll watcher. There was no enthusiasm like that for McCain or Romney.

    I live in North Carolina a state that now has a Republican Governor and a Republican controlled legislature. In the weeks leading up to the election my observations were skewed because of this - I thought the enthusiasm was greater than it actually was - I would have been better served to interact with more people outside of my state. However, my luke warm enthusiasm for Romney should have been a stronger indicator of what the base was feeling. It may be ironic to many here, but Romney lost because of his shift to "moderation" in the closing few weeks of the campaign - in particular the foreign policy debate. It cost him.
     
  19. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    Ace. You owe me $1.00.

    Please donate it to Planned Parenthood of N0rth Carolina in light of the recent NC legislature midnight action to defund all private women and family planning facilities.
     
  20. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    Will do.