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Politics Obama - Actually doing a good job?

Discussion in 'Tilted Philosophy, Politics, and Economics' started by rogue49, Mar 10, 2012.

  1. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    It's a non-starter. It's like calling Ron Paul an anarchist or Mitt Romney a fascist. I'm not exaggerating. At all.

    The ironic thing is these same people worship Reagan without realizing many of the parallels and similarities between Obama and Reagan.

    By the Numbers: The Economy Under Reagan vs. Obama

    Obama vs. Reagan in Five Charts - TheStreet

    But history isn't the average American's strong point.
     
  2. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    History isn't MOST Americans strong point...we suffer from ADD as we strive mightly to keep up with the Jones,
    if not attain the level that Romney & Obama have gotten to.
    We're good at striving, not just simply enjoying good R&R.

    hmm...I'm not about manipulating companies to gain profit...I prefer the old-school way, creating something cool...then selling it.
    But I don't have enough clout for that...yet.
    Maybe if I use the other method...write a book, how this sound? "The Audacity of Audacity"
    or "Dreams of my Mother who stuck around"

    But anyways...good comparative articles.
    For finding them...you could get a job on The Daily Show, which is notorious for putting things side by side.

    But for some reason...in all sincerity, I think that people are starting to finally get it.
    The constant barage of information on the Web and other media...has finally showed most the true comparison.
    They CAN read for themselves, fact checks, opinions, graphs and more...from all sides.
    Watch what people are saying...and see the trend of overall opinion.

    Most are seeing this now...have adapted, are thinking for themselves.
    Most of the radical ones I know, are those who don't take the time on the Internet...browsing galore.
    But the rest of the population is progressively growing in usage...and it's making a difference on their viewpoints.

    I'm not talking about the smaller extremes who scream loudly...but the volume in the middle.
    It is interesting to see the paradigm shift.

    Makes me wonder what's it going to be like in another 4 years...for the next election.
    That should be a change too.
     
  3. ASU2003

    ASU2003 Very Tilted

    Location:
    Where ever I roam
    Fossil fuel industry opens wallet to defeat Obama - Hawaii News - Honolulu Star-Advertiser
    Page 2 - Energy Is Money and Energy Is Changing - TheStreet


    This article pretty much sums up my feelings on it. If Romney wins, the US will turn into a cold-war Russia type of landscape with drilling and mining everywhere, but in 30 years when the current batch of Republicans are dead, there will be no oil left.

    Obama did some stuff to help the clean energy movement, but the local regulators in most neighborhoods are Republican and getting permits isn't always easy. We will see if I can get one by October, the people that are reviewing my application have been 'on vacation' since Labor Day...

    This is why I have broken my addiction to oil and have stopped giving them as much money as possible. They are all evil and they are raising their kids to be evil too.

    At least Mother Nature F'd with them up in the Artic.
     
  4. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    Coal is one thing, but when it comes to oil, it's easy to mislead people by stating that things have been bad under Obama.

    How is it misleading? Well, have a look.
    What about natural gas? Well, that's another story.

    Natural gas production boom alters energy outlook – USATODAY.com
     
    Last edited: Sep 22, 2012
  5. ASU2003

    ASU2003 Very Tilted

    Location:
    Where ever I roam
    The thing is, it really depends if you care about oil prices in the next 10-30 years or the next 100-200 years. Production can go up, we can flood the market with cheap gas and oil for a while. Then it starts becoming really hard to find. You have to drill in the Arctic for 3 months a year when there is no ice, you have to dig up big swaths of tar sand Alberta and use 2 barrels of oil to get 3 barrels. When you have to pollute millions of gallons of fresh water and contaminate it to get lots of natural gas in the short term, it will lead to problems down the line.

    All of a sudden, when demand is still at all time highs, and the supply drops like a rock once the easy oil is processed because nobody planned for long term drawn down and switching to other energy sources, people get screwed.

    But, it makes a few generations people really rich and powerful. And the free market will push the bubble and cliff style again and again where the investment dollars come in and the profits are great, and they can find all the gas and oil easily. But then since the price is kept low and people don't care about using and wasting it all, eventually it runs out and we won't be able to find the big oil fields like they could in the 60s and 70s.
     
  6. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    This is why I don't understand people who criticize Obama and other leaders/influencers who are trying to develop green and renewable energy. It's like people take an either/or position (unsurprisingly). Well, why can't they plan for both oil and gas and green energy? There's no reason why they can't. The reason why people think it's an either/or thing is because of misinformation coming from industry and politicians.

    It's incredibly naive to think that green energy doesn't have an important (and pressing) role to play in the short- to long-term development of any industrialized energy plan.
     
  7. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    Yes, the whole Energy Strategy and equation is about to change rapidly for the US. (and I believe Canada too)

    Now THIS is where the government making the right moves could really kick-start the economy.

    But they need to make sure we aren't glutted by Big Oil looking to maximize it's profits.
    Already, they are taking the surplus and rather than pool it or use it to lower the market prices are exporting it overseas to places like Africa and so...

    The Obama administration is already putting measures into oil trading to make sure that speculators aren't keeping a bubble price on Oil/barrel.
    Next, they are attempting to not only control over-spectulation and price gauging,
    but they are going to try to build and invest into new refineries (there aren't enough, especially on the East Coast, keeping Gas prices higher)

    Then they are pushing forward to gain even more gas efficiencies and alternative fuels.
    Natural Gas is going to change the utility landscape.

    So, if they can keep the power giants from lining their pockets too much,
    they can bring down both Utility and Gas prices to MUCH lower levels...this helps out ALL businesses. (small & large) and direct costs to the public.
    Planes, Trains & Automobiles...Gas & Electric Utilities, redirect coal usage and need...

    You COULD get business getting a kick by having their costs drop...translating into lower product/service cost...leading to new buying.
    You COULD get the public from getting hit as bad on a daily/weekly/monthly basis...giving some more breathing room...leading to new buying.
    You COULD change the whole Global Geopolitical landscape...weaking the need for Mid-East, Brazilian and Russian oil...less money, less power.
    You COULD bring more money into North America that has been going out in decades past.
    You COULD leverage these gains in to giving breathing room on cleaner environ and alternative...bringing the cycle in REVERSE.

    All of this depend on if you let the companies and commodities brokers leverage pricing for short-term gains,
    OR you re-invest, maintain "a bit" of control and redirect it all...You COULD change the whole puzzle.
    (please note, I don't want speed limits on the race...just someone to ref to see if anyone is "juicing", keeping the game non-chaotic)

    I know Obama would likely do the latter...increasing National strength
    I don't know what Romney would do...but my instinct are saying the former...gaining more for himself and associates. I could be wrong, I hope.

    I'm not for TOTAL alternatives ASAP...we're not quite there yet.
    What I am for it leverage what resources we have for the gain of the Nation.
    And using this to re-invest to keep the momentum and breath more life into alternatives.

    Besides, in realistic terms...you're not going to get the established industry to just "Go Away",
    it doesn't happen that way...this is not a board game.
    You have to cycle it down...give the industries less need to exist and profit.
    It took over a hundred years for it to build...it will likely take just as long for it to disappear.
    I'm real about that...

    Besides, even if North America doesn't need it...they are going to turn around and sell it elsewhere.
    US and Canada become the exporter instead of the importer.
    Question is...how do we leverage this??

    I know that the Obama adminstration is already moving forward in this context.
    And will likely expand on that...if he wins in November.
    How fast depends on the political makeup of the Congress...and his ability to leverage the momentum.
     
    Last edited: Sep 22, 2012
  8. ASU2003

    ASU2003 Very Tilted

    Location:
    Where ever I roam
    It could help some, but hurt others.

    And they won't prevent the giants from lining their pockets anymore. Regulation is bad and cost tax dollars. Deregulation and free markets are the way to go... :rolleyes:

    Or, more likely, with all the mergers and collusion between competitors, it will more likely increase profits and dividends.

    The public is too stupid to realize that we are sending $1 billion dollars a day to foreign countries, a large part to countries that don't care if we fail or are actively trying to make that happen.

    For a while... maybe.

    But it won't anymore. And the patents the oil companies could buy out or develop could delay it. And through the tax code, I doubt that oil drilled by a multi-national company in a foreign country, and sold internationally would be taxed in the US. So, the US would have to use less than the domestic oil it produces in order to start exporting.

    [​IMG]

    Obama kind of knows he doesn't need the environmentalist vote in this election, and we are a poor group that doesn't donate much to political elections.

    We at least need an energy plan that would take into account a switch to renewable energy since the problems of the dirty energy production and use can't be fixed.

    Romney did release a energy plan that looked like Rush Limbaugh would approve of it.


    It will go away when it takes more oil to get the product to you than you would buy. With how inefficient gasoline is, it is amazing it has stuck around this long. It takes energy to drill the well, pump it out, ship it halfway around the world, refine it, pump it, put it on a truck, then get it to a filling station, and use it all before it goes bad if the price fluctuates down.


    This is where Obama and the next Democratic nominee need to get challenged by someone from the far left. The people of Alaska get some money for using the natural resources, yet no other American does. If the US exports it, the people at the top of the big oil companies will make out well, they will expand their companies, they will buy out more local and national elections, and a few shareholders might get some kickbacks.
     
  9. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    Well, I do know that Obama's administration has raised the auto efficiency requirements more...I believe everything is going into effect 2014.
    (hmm...2014 will be interesting...)

    Again, it depends on the Congress makeup on what he can push through.
    And even with Executive power, he didn't want to give the GOP even more to throw at him, from a conservative context.
    Much is on hiatus until after the election.

    IF he wins, then he already has an established leadership basis within his administration.
    There will be a month or two of turn-over, including likely changing the Secretary of Energy.
    He's have to deal with the make-up of the current Congress until January.

    So, let's say that if winning, and perhaps Congress has had some Dem gains, which would be likely if he won, because of voter trending during the election.
    That and the new secretary could be what is necessary to put some more favored energy policy through.
    During the first term with the Democratic leverage, most energy was used pushing through stimulus and Obamacare.
    They lost the ability to move after that with the new GOP horde coming in.

    If Obama loses...or there are significant GOP gains...then all bets are off.
    You'll either have Big Oil setting the terms like under GWB & Cheney...or it will be head to head combat between Congress & the Prez.
    Then it would be Status Quo...with Obama only give what executive orders he can get away with.

    All depends on what happens during the election...
     
  10. ASU2003

    ASU2003 Very Tilted

    Location:
    Where ever I roam
    [​IMG]

    (Although I think they got Maine wrong, it should be Michigan)

    But this picture shows the problem with trying to get US off foreign oil. There are only 3 states that are making more oil than they use, and there are a lot of states which would have to reduce their usage by 90%.

    *North Dakota is probably making more now too, but still not enough to cover the use of a bigger state.

    And while drill, baby, drill will work in the short term, it will just help expand the yellow circles and have the red circles shrink more quickly at some date in the future.
     
  11. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    And then there is the current and future state of affairs:

    U.S. boom in oil production spells peril for Canadian crude - The Globe and Mail
     
  12. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    The future state of affairs?

    Potentially massive pollution of groundwater resulting from deep well injections of oil and gas drilling (and other industrial) waste by-products.

    '"cough cough"
     
  13. ASU2003

    ASU2003 Very Tilted

    Location:
    Where ever I roam
    We might have a 10-20 year run in US production, but then it would fall off a cliff.

    US foreign policy will still be impacted because other countries will still want oil from the Middle East and South America.

    And if the price of a gallon goes down, demand from US drivers will go back up again. Especially since $2/gallon gas would seem like a great deal.

    But when Prudhoe Bay is dry, ANWR is still off limits, the East coast offshore is dry, Texas is dry, the Arctic thing isn't working out very well, California still won't let them drill in 2030... Where else are you going to find 7.6+ billion barrels year after year?
     
  14. rogue49

    rogue49 Tech Kung Fu Artist Staff Member

    Location:
    Baltimore/DC
    Well, believe me the Earth will go on, I don't know about us...but I'm sure we'll make just as good of oil as the Dinosaurs. :eek:

    Eh, we'll get to alternative energies soon or later...it's moving that way, just painfully slow...and it's a roller-coaster.

    In all seriousness, what I'm truly fascinated by is how the Global dynamics will change by this significant find.
    This is the stuff you see history arcs on...
    And what I'm also interested in...assuming by current polling that Obama is in charge, what moves will be made in his 2nd adminstration.

    See, I know what he's said rhetorically...but we've found that he, like most politicians are willing to go their own way when decisions are made.
    I can't get a sense of which way he'll go...sure, there will be some of the status quo, some of his current alternative energy pushes, etc and so on.
    But I don't think I'll see it until if and when he replaces the Secretary of Energy.

    This is where I want the thread to go...speculation on what you think Obama will REALLY do in his 2nd term.
    Any insight on Energy or otherwise??
     
  15. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    I think the issue is that peak oil is real, meaning that any energy policy that doesn't include a large proportion of green/renewable development is folly.

    It would be great for the U.S. to get off the Middle Eastern oil, but all that would do is shift some oil to domestic and some oil to places like Canada, Mexico, and Brazil. There will still be problems of consumption.

    The trick is in energy conservation and new power technologies (which include green/renewables).

    I've said this before, but I think Germany is a great example: Renewable energy in Germany - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

    Obama has made some moves on renewables, but it looks like he's planning to do more in a second term: Renewable Energy Is Obama Goal for Next Term, Aide Says - Bloomberg
     
  16. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    "People" are not against the development of green and renewable energy - "people" are against excessive government subsidy of green and renewable energy and the excessive regulation on fossil fuels used as energy. "People" are concerned about some of the unintended consequences and political/economic subterfuge involved in green and renewable energy, i.e. the use of corn to produce ethanol - the real beneficiary are corn farmers.

    I would love a cheap renewable or bio source of energy for my home, but coal and natural gas is more abundant, cheaper and more efficient.
     
  17. Baraka_Guru

    Baraka_Guru Möderätor Staff Member

    Location:
    Toronto
    But are these "people" balanced about their view of the development of green and renewable energy, or are they free market extremists with a Pollyanna view that the market will make everything better?

    Green and renewable energy will not be developed adequately and in a timely manner without government involvement.

    The other matter is that excessive is a relative term. It really depends on what works. You know, getting things done without it leading to an unmitigated disaster.

    Yes. For now.
     
    Last edited: Sep 25, 2012
  18. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    The oil and gas industry, among the most profitable industries the country, has received subsidies in the form of tax incentives, tax relief, lease waivers, depletion allowances, etc. to the tune of an average of $4+ billion/year for nearly 100 years.
    --- merged: Sep 25, 2012 at 10:24 AM ---
    What makes it worse is that many of the oil/gas subsidies/incentives that were authorized years ago are permanent with no sunset provisions.

    While these oil/gas subsidies continue year to year, we're finally seeing a more balanced approach in the last few years, with annual appropriations for renewable projects exceeding oil/gas.

    Want to cut spending or increase revenue, Ace? Start with those permanent oil/gas subsidies and support a more balanced approach to long-term energy independence.
    --- merged: Sep 25, 2012 at 10:31 AM ---
    I give Bush credit for the first real commitment to renewable energy, starting with the 06 energy bill and expansion of renewable energy tax credits...that were further expanded in Obama's recovery act.

    [​IMG]

    The question remains whether big oil still needs $4 billion/year in credits, incentives, subsidies.....
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Oct 2, 2012
  19. Aceventura

    Aceventura Slightly Tilted

    Location:
    North Carolina
    I am one of the "people" in question and I have no objection to some government involvement in green/renewable energy R&D and investment. I think government has a role in forward thinking activities and infra-structure investment unlikely to be taken on in the private sector. For example I have no objection with paying a tax and government involvement in making sure some thing like accessibility to the internet is available to rural populations or something like space exploration. I am not a purist - I do not hold the extreme position that the "free market" can do it all.

    Given the above, what makes everything better boils down to price/cost efficiency. Inefficiency will eventually fail relative to efficiency. This concept is beyond the control of government.


    On occasion I state that we are mostly in agreement on most issues. Our disagreement is often on process or can be measured in degrees of difference. If on a scale of 1 to 10 I am a 6 and you are an 8 - we often go toe to toe over +-2. From a broader perspective the difference can be pretty small.
    --- merged: Sep 25, 2012 at 10:39 AM ---

    two points.

    1) I don't support real oil/gas industry subsidies given the maturity of those industries.
    2) What you call "subsidy", I don't, when rate of taxation is relatively high compared to other industries. I support tax simplification, the same rules for all.
    I like 1987.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Oct 2, 2012
  20. redux

    redux Very Tilted

    Location:
    Foggy Bottom
    In fact, the effective tax rates of oil/gas industries are among the lowest of any industry (in the 15% range, lower than than industry average of 18%)...and among the highest profits.